SportsLine’s Model Predicts Favorites for the Valspar Championship

This week the PGA Tour will conclude its Florida Swing at the Valspar Championship at the Copperhead Course of the Innisbrook Resort located in Palm Harbor.[0] The par 71 course has been the only venue to host this tournament since 2000 and features five par-3s, four par-5s, and stretches to over 7,300 yards.[1] Sam Burns has achieved a remarkable feat, having won this event twice and both times at -17.[1]

McClure's model forecasted that Jon Rahm would be at the top of the rankings at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions, The American Express and the Genesis Invitational.[2] J.T. Poston was also included among the model's top picks to take the 2022 John Deere Classic.[3] McClure's best bets in the tournament returned almost $1,100, with a single bet winning at +5500.[3] Before the weekend of the 2022 Masters, McClure's model predicted a first major championship win for Scottie Scheffler.[3]

McClure also made a bold prediction of Collin Morikawa taking the 2021 Open Championship title, despite being a 40-1 longshot.[2] The model was thoroughly present during Rahm's (10-1) initial major championship win at the 2021 U.S. Open.[2] Rahm was two shots behind the leader going into the weekend, yet the model still predicted he would be the victor.[2]

For this week’s Valspar Championship, SportsLine’s model has identified a few golfers as prime targets for your betting card.[4] One of those golfers is Tommy Fleetwood, who is available at +2200 and $9,800 on DraftKings. He has produced five top-15 finishes in his last 15 PGA starts and has shown elite tee-to-green play, gaining over five strokes ball striking at the Arnold Palmer. He also ranks out top 10 in proximity from 175-200 yards and >200 yards over the past 50-rounds and has an underrated short game which has gained him strokes against the field in six of his last seven starts.[5]

Another golfer to keep an eye on is Justin Suh, who is listed at +3500 and $10,400 on DraftKings.

0. “FanDuel PGA: Valspar Championship Picks and Strategy” RotoWire, 14 Mar. 2023, https://www.rotowire.com/golf/article/fanduel-pga-valspar-championship-picks-and-strategy-70552

1. “Fantasy Golf Value Picks: Top DraftKings PGA TOUR DFS Bargain Plays for The Valspar Championship” DraftKings Nation, 13 Mar. 2023, https://dknation.draftkings.com/fantasy-advice/2023/3/13/23638507/fantasy-golf-value-picks-top-draftkings-pga-tour-dfs-bargain-plays-for-the-valspar-championship

2. “2023 Valspar Championship picks, odds, field: Surprising PGA predictions from model that nailed 8 majors” CBS Sports, 16 Mar. 2023, https://www.cbssports.com/golf/news/2023-valspar-championship-picks-odds-field-surprising-pga-predictions-from-model-that-nailed-8-majors

3. “2023 Valspar Championship odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected leaderboard, surprising predictions” SportsLine, 16 Mar. 2023, https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/2023-valspar-championship-odds-picks-proven-golf-model-reveals-projected-leaderboard-surprising-predictions

4. “An ideal Fitz for Copperhead” Sportinglife.com, 16 Mar. 2023, https://www.sportinglife.com/golf/news/ben-coleys-golf-betting-tips-valspar-championship-preview-and-best-bets/207930

5. “2023 Valspar Championship First Round Leader Picks: Bounce-Back Week for Davis Riley?” stokastic.com, 15 Mar. 2023, https://www.stokastic.com/news/valspar-championship-first-round-leader-davis-riley-bounce-back-k22/